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Red112
49455.3
30216.3
24022.1
Blue128
50351.6
21752.1
5134.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81143050100200250112128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#8
55.30.0
55.355.3
Auto12.3
Teleop43.0
End0.0
red by 3.2
217
#7
52.10.0
52.152.1
Auto1.4
Teleop50.7
End0.0
Second
240
#16
22.10.0
22.122.1
Auto0.2
Teleop21.9
End0.0
blue by 29.5
503
#2
51.60.0
51.651.6
Auto-0.6
Teleop52.2
End0.0
Third
302
#24
16.30.0
16.316.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop16.6
End0.0
blue by 18.5
51
#35
34.80.0
34.834.8
Auto0.6
Teleop34.2
End0.0