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Red10
569514.7
54888.8
439518.0
Blue23
30216.3
6666.5
5134.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118112204060801001401601023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#5
88.80.0
88.888.8
Auto1.8
Teleop87.0
End0.0
red by 22.3
66
#32
66.50.0
66.566.5
Auto1.3
Teleop65.2
End0.0
Second
4395
#34
18.00.0
18.018.0
Auto0.8
Teleop17.2
End0.0
blue by 16.8
51
#35
34.80.0
34.834.8
Auto0.6
Teleop34.2
End0.0
Third
5695
#37
14.70.0
14.714.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.0
End0.0
blue by 1.5
302
#24
16.30.0
16.316.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop16.6
End0.0