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Red54
21752.1
191866.5
45076.9
Blue152
439518.0
413043.6
50351.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1241075015020054152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1918
#12
66.50.0
66.566.5
Auto0.4
Teleop66.0
End0.0
red by 14.9
503
#2
51.60.0
51.651.6
Auto-0.6
Teleop52.2
End0.0
Second
217
#7
52.10.0
52.152.1
Auto1.4
Teleop50.7
End0.0
red by 8.5
43.60.0
43.643.6
Auto-0.8
Teleop44.4
End0.0
Third
4507
#38
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.0
End0.0
blue by 11.1
4395
#34
18.00.0
18.018.0
Auto0.8
Teleop17.2
End0.0