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Red80
50351.6
569514.7
283228.4
Blue44
543623.2
173231.7
150419.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96680501502008044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#2
51.60.0
51.651.6
Auto-0.6
Teleop52.2
End0.0
red by 19.8
1732
#27
31.70.0
31.731.7
Auto0.5
Teleop31.2
End0.0
Second
2832
#17
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto0.4
Teleop28.0
End0.0
red by 5.2
5436
#22
23.20.0
23.223.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.3
End0.0
Third
5695
#37
14.70.0
14.714.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.0
End0.0
blue by 4.8
1504
#21
19.60.0
19.619.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.8
End0.0