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Red16
24548.1
22661.2
283228.4
Blue20
191866.5
332245.4
28045.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1291560501002002503001620

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#33
61.20.0
61.261.2
Auto0.1
Teleop61.2
End0.0
blue by 5.2
1918
#12
66.50.0
66.566.5
Auto0.4
Teleop66.0
End0.0
Second
245
#30
48.10.0
48.148.1
Auto0.8
Teleop47.4
End0.0
red by 2.7
3322
#25
45.40.0
45.445.4
Auto0.2
Teleop45.3
End0.0
Third
2832
#17
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto0.4
Teleop28.0
End0.0
blue by 16.8
280
#36
45.20.0
45.245.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop45.4
End0.0