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Red61
17321.5
24634.6
568714.4
Blue75
31921.8
356627.3
147418.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions676550607080901006175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
246
#5
34.60.1
34.033.9
Auto0.5
Teleop34.1
End0.0
red by 7.3
27.30.1
27.327.4
Auto0.7
Teleop26.5
End0.0
Second
173
#18
21.50.1
21.020.9
Auto0.1
Teleop21.5
End0.0
blue by 0.3
319
#16
21.80.1
21.922.0
Auto4.7
Teleop17.1
End0.0
Third
5687
#29
14.40.1
13.913.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.7
End0.0
blue by 4.4
1474
#13
18.80.1
18.919.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.1
End0.0