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Red38
271316.0
500016.7
287626.3
Blue19
476120.8
17321.5
176113.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37360102030506070803819

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.30.0
16.616.6
Auto0.8
Teleop25.5
End0.0
red by 4.8
173
#18
21.51.5
11.09.4
Auto0.1
Teleop21.5
End0.0
Second
5000
#10
16.70.0
11.811.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.7
End0.0
blue by 4.1
4761
#11
20.81.5
13.411.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.9
End0.0
Third
2713
#15
16.00.0
9.89.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.3
End0.0
red by 2.3
1761
#30
13.71.5
13.111.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.9
End0.0