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Red25
404112.1
271316.0
545912.5
Blue26
349914.4
54225.9
356627.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2435060801001201402526

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2713
#15
16.00.1
9.89.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.3
End0.0
blue by 11.3
27.30.4
16.015.6
Auto0.7
Teleop26.5
End0.0
Second
5459
#24
12.50.1
6.66.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 1.9
3499
#21
14.40.7
10.49.7
Auto0.2
Teleop14.2
End0.0
Third
4041
#27
12.10.1
10.310.1
Auto0.3
Teleop11.8
End0.0
red by 6.2
5422
#35
5.90.7
7.87.1
Auto0.8
Teleop5.1
End0.0