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Red40
17321.5
416914.5
176834.9
Blue26
31921.8
57529.1
5094.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363102060801001204026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.90.3
15.716.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop35.0
End0.0
red by 13.1
319
#16
21.80.5
17.116.5
Auto4.7
Teleop17.1
End0.0
Second
173
#18
21.50.3
9.49.7
Auto0.1
Teleop21.5
End0.0
red by 12.5
5752
#33
9.10.5
7.97.4
Auto0.0
Teleop9.1
End0.0
Third
4169
#14
14.50.3
11.712.0
Auto0.6
Teleop13.9
End0.0
red by 10.3
509
#37
4.20.5
7.67.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop4.2
End0.0