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Red29
173513.7
404112.1
287626.3
Blue70
416914.5
19021.6
110018.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474610203040607080902970

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.30.9
18.617.6
Auto0.8
Teleop25.5
End0.0
red by 4.8
190
#22
21.61.1
17.718.8
Auto0.2
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Second
1735
#34
13.71.6
13.712.1
Auto0.4
Teleop13.3
End0.0
blue by 4.3
1100
#19
18.01.8
18.620.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.1
End0.0
Third
4041
#27
12.11.6
15.714.1
Auto0.3
Teleop11.8
End0.0
blue by 2.4
4169
#14
14.51.8
12.013.8
Auto0.6
Teleop13.9
End0.0