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Red22
5094.2
568714.4
349914.4
Blue4
19658.2
105816.6
431116.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions233906080100120140224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5687
#29
14.40.3
10.810.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.7
End0.0
blue by 2.1
1058
#26
16.62.8
13.911.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.7
End0.0
Second
3499
#21
14.40.3
8.68.3
Auto0.2
Teleop14.2
End0.0
blue by 2.1
4311
#12
16.52.8
10.98.0
Auto0.1
Teleop16.4
End0.0
Third
509
#37
4.20.3
6.66.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop4.2
End0.0
blue by 4.0
1965
#32
8.22.8
13.410.5
Auto0.2
Teleop8.0
End0.0