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Red43
349914.4
147418.8
173513.7
Blue26
555610.4
31921.8
17216.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35340102040506070804326

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1474
#13
18.80.3
15.916.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.1
End0.0
blue by 3.0
319
#16
21.80.8
17.416.6
Auto4.7
Teleop17.1
End0.0
Second
3499
#21
14.40.6
8.38.8
Auto0.2
Teleop14.2
End0.0
red by 4.0
5556
#23
10.40.8
13.412.6
Auto0.1
Teleop10.2
End0.0
Third
1735
#34
13.70.6
12.112.6
Auto0.4
Teleop13.3
End0.0
red by 7.3
1721
#38
6.40.8
4.33.6
Auto0.1
Teleop6.3
End0.0