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Red39
545912.5
568714.4
356627.3
Blue29
128915.5
147418.8
53473.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46320204060801001203929

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.30.3
21.922.2
Auto0.7
Teleop26.5
End0.0
red by 8.4
1474
#13
18.80.3
15.214.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.1
End0.0
Second
5687
#29
14.40.4
9.910.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.7
End0.0
blue by 1.1
1289
#25
15.50.3
15.315.0
Auto0.5
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Third
5459
#24
12.50.4
13.313.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.9
End0.0
red by 8.7
5347
#39
3.80.4
4.84.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop3.8
End0.0