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Red101
128915.5
416914.5
356627.3
Blue50
44742.4
476120.8
431116.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions512702040608010012014010150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.32.6
22.224.8
Auto0.7
Teleop26.5
End0.0
red by 6.4
4761
#11
20.81.8
17.819.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.9
End0.0
Second
1289
#25
15.52.6
15.017.6
Auto0.5
Teleop15.0
End0.0
blue by 1.0
4311
#12
16.51.8
12.514.3
Auto0.1
Teleop16.4
End0.0
Third
4169
#14
14.53.2
11.915.1
Auto0.6
Teleop13.9
End0.0
red by 12.0
4474
#40
2.41.8
1.53.4
Auto0.0
Teleop2.4
End0.0