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Red54
115313.9
105816.6
147418.8
Blue75
349914.4
500016.7
490533.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3466020801001201401605475

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1474
#13
18.81.0
14.915.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.1
End0.0
blue by 14.5
33.40.6
31.932.4
Auto0.7
Teleop32.7
End0.0
Second
1058
#26
16.61.2
11.412.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.7
End0.0
blue by 0.2
5000
#10
16.70.7
18.118.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.7
End0.0
Third
1153
#31
13.91.2
13.614.8
Auto1.0
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 0.5
3499
#21
14.40.7
13.714.3
Auto0.2
Teleop14.2
End0.0