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Red6
500016.7
176113.7
53473.8
Blue8
556313.0
105816.6
555610.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2632040608010012014016068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5000
#10
16.71.8
11.810.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.7
End0.0
red by 0.2
1058
#26
16.62.0
10.88.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.7
End0.0
Second
1761
#30
13.71.8
11.69.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.9
End0.0
red by 0.7
5563
#28
13.02.0
10.48.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.3
End0.0
Third
5347
#39
3.81.8
4.62.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop3.8
End0.0
blue by 6.6
5556
#23
10.42.0
10.88.8
Auto0.1
Teleop10.2
End0.0