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Red88
105816.6
476120.8
19021.6
Blue93
31921.8
356627.3
147418.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions506301001508893

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#22
21.60.6
19.820.3
Auto0.2
Teleop21.4
End0.0
blue by 5.7
27.30.5
25.726.2
Auto0.7
Teleop26.5
End0.0
Second
4761
#11
20.80.6
19.019.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.9
End0.0
blue by 1.0
319
#16
21.80.5
20.220.7
Auto4.7
Teleop17.1
End0.0
Third
1058
#26
16.60.6
14.715.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.7
End0.0
blue by 2.3
1474
#13
18.80.5
17.317.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.1
End0.0