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Red145
17321.5
24634.6
568714.4
Blue64
107325.9
287626.3
271316.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5663010015020014564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
246
#5
34.61.4
30.832.2
Auto0.5
Teleop34.1
End0.0
red by 8.2
26.30.0
25.125.1
Auto0.8
Teleop25.5
End0.0
Second
173
#18
21.51.4
17.819.2
Auto0.1
Teleop21.5
End0.0
blue by 4.3
25.90.0
24.624.6
Auto0.0
Teleop25.8
End0.0
Third
5687
#29
14.41.4
10.712.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.7
End0.0
blue by 1.5
2713
#15
16.00.0
14.714.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.3
End0.0