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Red101
105816.6
476120.8
19021.6
Blue110
107325.9
287626.3
271316.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51640100150101110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#22
21.60.8
20.321.1
Auto0.2
Teleop21.4
End0.0
blue by 4.8
26.30.8
25.125.8
Auto0.8
Teleop25.5
End0.0
Second
4761
#11
20.80.8
19.620.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.9
End0.0
blue by 5.1
25.90.8
24.625.4
Auto0.0
Teleop25.8
End0.0
Third
1058
#26
16.60.8
15.316.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.7
End0.0
red by 0.6
2713
#15
16.00.8
14.715.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.3
End0.0