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Red110
371826.9
314628.5
216824.9
Blue73
6124.7
31632.2
66321.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions737605010015020025011073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.50.6
27.127.7
Auto3.1
Teleop25.4
End0.0
blue by 3.6
316
#3
32.20.1
32.332.2
Auto1.4
Teleop30.7
End0.0
Second
26.90.6
25.526.1
Auto2.4
Teleop24.5
End0.0
red by 2.2
61
#9
24.70.1
24.924.8
Auto2.2
Teleop22.6
End0.0
Third
2168
#17
24.90.6
23.424.0
Auto1.6
Teleop23.3
End0.0
red by 3.7
663
#21
21.10.1
21.321.2
Auto1.4
Teleop19.7
End0.0