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Red0
403415.2
71623.0
66321.1
Blue60
199125.4
83920.4
6124.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38470100150200060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
716
#13
23.02.4
19.316.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop23.5
End0.0
blue by 2.4
25.40.7
16.617.3
Auto0.3
Teleop25.2
End0.0
Second
663
#21
21.12.4
10.88.4
Auto1.4
Teleop19.7
End0.0
blue by 3.6
61
#9
24.71.1
17.018.1
Auto2.2
Teleop22.6
End0.0
Third
4034
#30
15.22.4
10.38.0
Auto0.0
Teleop15.2
End0.0
blue by 5.2
839
#15
20.41.1
13.314.4
Auto0.9
Teleop19.6
End0.0