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Red28
237015.8
199125.4
252312.3
Blue67
371826.9
17525.2
320519.2
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315702040801001201401602867

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.40.1
19.419.3
Auto0.3
Teleop25.2
End0.0
blue by 1.5
26.90.9
14.315.1
Auto2.4
Teleop24.5
End0.0
Second
2370
#24
15.80.1
8.98.8
Auto1.2
Teleop14.6
End0.0
blue by 9.4
175
#14
25.21.5
24.125.6
Auto1.7
Teleop23.4
End0.0
Third
2523
#29
12.30.2
7.67.4
Auto1.7
Teleop10.7
End0.0
blue by 6.9
3205
#23
19.21.5
17.018.4
Auto0.8
Teleop18.3
End0.0