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Red81
495821.3
31632.2
6124.7
Blue97
314628.5
578213.2
17631.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53480204060801001201408197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#3
32.22.3
23.425.6
Auto1.4
Teleop30.7
End0.0
red by 0.8
176
#2
31.42.6
27.229.9
Auto0.1
Teleop31.3
End0.0
Second
61
#9
24.72.3
19.221.4
Auto2.2
Teleop22.6
End0.0
blue by 3.8
28.54.4
14.418.7
Auto3.1
Teleop25.4
End0.0
Third
4958
#19
21.32.3
11.313.5
Auto0.4
Teleop20.9
End0.0
red by 8.1
5782
#26
13.24.4
8.813.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop13.6
End0.0