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Red118
50121.1
404836.4
495821.3
Blue94
66321.1
371826.9
83920.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4843020608010012014011894

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.45.7
26.732.5
Auto1.1
Teleop35.2
End0.0
red by 9.4
26.92.4
19.722.1
Auto2.4
Teleop24.5
End0.0
Second
4958
#19
21.35.7
9.915.7
Auto0.4
Teleop20.9
End0.0
red by 0.1
663
#21
21.14.0
9.813.8
Auto1.4
Teleop19.7
End0.0
Third
501
#12
21.15.7
12.318.1
Auto0.5
Teleop20.6
End0.0
red by 0.6
839
#15
20.44.0
16.220.2
Auto0.9
Teleop19.6
End0.0