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Red74
50121.1
66321.1
358512.7
Blue75
362324.1
314628.5
403415.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464801001502002503003504007475

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
663
#21
21.12.0
15.517.5
Auto1.4
Teleop19.7
End0.0
blue by 7.4
28.52.0
17.219.2
Auto3.1
Teleop25.4
End0.0
Second
501
#12
21.12.0
20.222.2
Auto0.5
Teleop20.6
End0.0
blue by 3.0
24.12.0
21.323.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop24.3
End0.0
Third
3585
#33
12.72.0
12.714.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 2.5
4034
#30
15.22.0
11.213.1
Auto0.0
Teleop15.2
End0.0