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Red100
371826.9
71623.0
18116.2
Blue64
495821.3
66321.1
21318.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6049020408010012014016010064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.92.0
22.224.2
Auto2.4
Teleop24.5
End0.0
red by 5.6
4958
#19
21.30.8
21.822.6
Auto0.4
Teleop20.9
End0.0
Second
716
#13
23.02.6
22.825.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop23.5
End0.0
red by 1.9
663
#21
21.10.8
17.618.3
Auto1.4
Teleop19.7
End0.0
Third
181
#27
16.22.6
15.518.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.3
End0.0
blue by 1.8
213
#25
18.00.8
12.913.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop18.4
End0.0