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Red112
16628.5
199125.4
17821.7
Blue76
454619.0
362324.1
17717.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6453020408010012014016011276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#4
28.52.9
25.228.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop28.6
End0.0
red by 4.4
24.11.2
24.225.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop24.3
End0.0
Second
25.42.4
19.822.2
Auto0.3
Teleop25.2
End0.0
red by 6.4
4546
#16
19.01.2
14.916.1
Auto0.6
Teleop18.4
End0.0
Third
178
#10
21.72.9
19.722.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop22.0
End0.0
red by 4.3
177
#32
17.41.2
17.418.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.4
End0.0