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Red44
17525.2
409713.8
403415.2
Blue74
318218.5
358512.7
237015.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5939020801001201404474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#14
25.20.9
26.125.2
Auto1.7
Teleop23.4
End0.0
red by 6.7
3182
#18
18.51.8
16.017.8
Auto1.8
Teleop16.8
End0.0
Second
4034
#30
15.20.9
16.415.5
Auto0.0
Teleop15.2
End0.0
blue by 0.6
2370
#24
15.81.5
14.415.9
Auto1.2
Teleop14.6
End0.0
Third
4097
#31
13.80.9
15.714.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop14.2
End0.0
red by 1.1
3585
#33
12.71.8
13.615.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.9
End0.0