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Red82
371826.9
314628.5
216824.9
Blue74
17525.2
17631.4
237015.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7269204060801001201408274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.50.1
26.626.7
Auto3.1
Teleop25.4
End0.0
blue by 2.8
176
#2
31.40.0
31.331.4
Auto0.1
Teleop31.3
End0.0
Second
26.90.1
25.025.1
Auto2.4
Teleop24.5
End0.0
red by 1.8
175
#14
25.20.0
25.125.2
Auto1.7
Teleop23.4
End0.0
Third
2168
#17
24.90.1
22.923.1
Auto1.6
Teleop23.3
End0.0
red by 9.0
2370
#24
15.80.0
15.815.8
Auto1.2
Teleop14.6
End0.0