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Red183
236343.9
169073.3
405013.6
Blue99
83626.0
253432.7
161021.9
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1296805010015020025018399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.31.0
71.272.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop73.6
End0.0
red by 40.6
32.70.3
32.632.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop33.1
End0.0
Second
43.91.0
41.842.7
Auto0.9
Teleop42.9
End0.0
red by 17.8
836
#9
26.00.3
26.026.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop26.3
End0.0
Third
4050
#36
13.61.0
11.512.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.8
End0.0
blue by 8.3
1610
#40
21.90.3
21.822.1
Auto1.5
Teleop20.4
End0.0