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Red46
44922.5
264225.0
138930.3
Blue20
191511.8
29006.5
405013.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73100204060801001201404620

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.31.1
24.123.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop30.5
End0.0
red by 16.7
4050
#36
13.60.0
4.24.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.8
End0.0
Second
2642
#12
25.01.2
21.420.2
Auto0.1
Teleop24.9
End0.0
red by 13.3
1915
#16
11.80.0
6.76.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.9
End0.0
Third
449
#11
22.51.1
19.818.7
Auto0.5
Teleop22.0
End0.0
red by 16.0
2900
#55
6.50.0
9.09.0
Auto0.0
Teleop6.5
End0.0