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Red88
138930.3
14469.5
108630.7
Blue119
328310.3
169073.3
253432.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4389010015020088119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1086
#10
30.72.4
21.423.8
Auto0.2
Teleop30.5
End0.0
blue by 42.6
73.31.7
53.555.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop73.6
End0.0
Second
30.31.8
23.124.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop30.5
End0.0
blue by 2.4
32.72.1
21.623.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop33.1
End0.0
Third
1446
#44
9.53.1
6.910.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop10.0
End0.0
blue by 0.7
3283
#25
10.32.8
10.012.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.3
End0.0