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Red58
5316.8
6159.9
108630.7
Blue17
338917.0
14469.5
296421.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443102060801005817

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1086
#10
30.70.9
23.824.7
Auto0.2
Teleop30.5
End0.0
red by 9.7
21.00.3
13.913.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Second
53
#28
16.80.7
13.314.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.1
End0.0
blue by 0.3
3389
#39
17.00.4
10.49.9
Auto0.3
Teleop16.7
End0.0
Third
615
#34
9.91.2
6.87.9
Auto0.1
Teleop9.8
End0.0
red by 0.3
1446
#44
9.50.4
10.09.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop10.0
End0.0