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Qual 382015 Chesapeake Regional
Red46
394120.2
40678.8
264225.0
Blue12
29126.2
328310.3
379316.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5622040801001201404612

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2642
#12
25.00.3
23.6→23.2
Auto0.1
Teleop24.9
End0.0
red by 8.4
3793
#42
16.70.8
4.5→3.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.9
End0.0
Second
3941
#24
20.20.3
15.5→15.1
Auto0.7
Teleop19.5
End0.0
red by 9.9
3283
#25
10.30.8
13.6→12.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.3
End0.0
Third
4067
#51
8.80.6
13.9→13.4
Auto0.3
Teleop8.5
End0.0
red by 2.6
2912
#58
6.20.5
9.8→9.3
Auto0.2
Teleop6.0
End0.0