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Red42
171912.3
237734.2
6159.9
Blue95
111124.7
138930.3
49498.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5048203040607080901004295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.20.4
25.425.0
Auto0.4
Teleop33.8
End0.0
red by 3.8
30.32.2
24.226.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop30.5
End0.0
Second
1719
#45
12.30.4
12.712.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.5
End0.0
blue by 12.4
1111
#18
24.72.2
19.221.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop24.8
End0.0
Third
615
#34
9.90.7
12.311.6
Auto0.1
Teleop9.8
End0.0
red by 1.2
4949
#20
8.72.2
8.010.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop9.1
End0.0