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Red48
379316.7
119513.2
44922.5
Blue20
68614.4
374813.0
29617.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36320102040506070804820

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#11
22.50.6
21.321.9
Auto0.5
Teleop22.0
End0.0
red by 8.1
686
#32
14.40.7
14.513.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.7
End0.0
Second
3793
#42
16.70.9
3.74.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.9
End0.0
red by 3.7
3748
#17
13.00.7
12.211.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.1
End0.0
Third
1195
#37
13.20.9
11.912.8
Auto1.1
Teleop12.2
End0.0
red by 5.6
2961
#49
7.61.2
7.76.5
Auto0.4
Teleop7.2
End0.0