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Red51
291420.2
264225.0
18299.0
Blue86
253432.7
494510.8
37515.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494810203040607080905186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2642
#12
25.00.1
23.223.3
Auto0.1
Teleop24.9
End0.0
blue by 7.7
32.72.1
26.328.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop33.1
End0.0
Second
2914
#33
20.20.1
17.918.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.2
End0.0
red by 4.6
375
#21
15.52.1
12.214.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.6
End0.0
Third
1829
#48
9.00.2
7.98.1
Auto1.6
Teleop7.5
End0.0
blue by 1.7
4945
#50
10.83.4
12.515.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.0
End0.0