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Red71
394120.2
338917.0
51065.1
Blue59
365014.4
492812.2
154714.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333001020405060707159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3941
#24
20.21.9
15.117.0
Auto0.7
Teleop19.5
End0.0
red by 5.8
3650
#23
14.41.4
8.49.7
Auto0.5
Teleop13.8
End0.0
Second
3389
#39
17.03.1
10.313.5
Auto0.3
Teleop16.7
End0.0
red by 2.9
1547
#46
14.21.4
13.715.1
Auto0.2
Teleop13.9
End0.0
Third
5106
#54
5.13.1
8.011.1
Auto0.5
Teleop4.6
End0.0
blue by 7.1
4928
#47
12.22.3
9.111.4
Auto0.3
Teleop11.9
End0.0