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Red50
29006.5
171912.3
445619.9
Blue112
263823.4
374813.0
236343.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions307405010015020050112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4456
#27
19.90.6
16.617.2
Auto0.5
Teleop19.5
End0.0
blue by 23.9
43.92.4
33.035.4
Auto0.9
Teleop42.9
End0.0
Second
1719
#45
12.30.6
12.212.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.5
End0.0
blue by 11.1
2638
#31
23.42.4
25.227.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop23.8
End0.0
Third
2900
#55
6.51.0
9.410.3
Auto0.0
Teleop6.5
End0.0
blue by 6.5
3748
#17
13.02.4
11.413.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.1
End0.0