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Qual 592015 Chesapeake Regional
Red120
169073.3
138930.3
296421.0
Blue116
445619.9
119513.2
162941.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111550100150200120116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1690
#1
73.30.7
62.6→63.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop73.6
End0.0
red by 31.8
1629
#7
41.52.5
38.6→41.1
Auto5.4
Teleop36.1
End0.0
Second
1389
#8
30.30.7
26.8→27.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop30.5
End0.0
red by 10.4
4456
#27
19.92.5
17.2→19.7
Auto0.5
Teleop19.5
End0.0
Third
2964
#5
21.00.7
16.8→17.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop21.4
End0.0
red by 7.8
1195
#37
13.24.2
10.2→14.4
Auto1.1
Teleop12.2
End0.0