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Qual 62015 Chesapeake Regional
Red0
29635.1
494510.8
379316.7
Blue48
253432.7
161021.9
88817.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27550100150048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3793
#42
16.72.2
9.4→7.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.9
End0.0
blue by 16.0
2534
#3
32.70.3
21.9→21.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop33.1
End0.0
Second
4945
#50
10.82.2
13.5→11.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.0
End0.0
blue by 11.1
1610
#40
21.90.4
22.3→22.0
Auto1.5
Teleop20.4
End0.0
Third
2963
#57
5.12.2
9.6→7.4
Auto0.0
Teleop5.1
End0.0
blue by 12.0
888
#15
17.10.3
8.7→8.4
Auto0.9
Teleop16.2
End0.0