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Red60
284918.1
379316.7
18299.0
Blue96
108630.7
454721.7
191511.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265801001502006096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2849
#19
18.12.3
15.017.3
Auto1.4
Teleop16.6
End0.0
blue by 12.6
1086
#10
30.72.1
25.928.0
Auto0.2
Teleop30.5
End0.0
Second
3793
#42
16.72.3
10.813.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.9
End0.0
blue by 5.0
4547
#14
21.72.1
18.020.0
Auto0.3
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Third
1829
#48
9.02.3
6.58.8
Auto1.6
Teleop7.5
End0.0
blue by 2.7
1915
#16
11.82.1
10.912.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.9
End0.0