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Red50
111124.7
328310.3
51154.2
Blue26
492812.2
191511.8
68614.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313901001502002505026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1111
#18
24.70.8
21.922.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop24.8
End0.0
red by 10.3
686
#32
14.40.7
13.412.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.7
End0.0
Second
3283
#25
10.31.3
10.211.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.3
End0.0
blue by 1.9
4928
#47
12.21.1
13.312.2
Auto0.3
Teleop11.9
End0.0
Third
5115
#56
4.21.3
1.62.9
Auto2.6
Teleop1.7
End0.0
blue by 7.5
1915
#16
11.80.7
12.912.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.9
End0.0