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Red62
37515.5
365014.4
405013.6
Blue56
6159.9
454721.7
445619.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265201001502006256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
375
#21
15.51.6
14.516.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.6
End0.0
blue by 6.2
4547
#14
21.70.3
20.020.3
Auto0.3
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Second
3650
#23
14.41.6
11.913.4
Auto0.5
Teleop13.8
End0.0
blue by 5.6
4456
#27
19.90.3
19.720.0
Auto0.5
Teleop19.5
End0.0
Third
4050
#36
13.61.6
4.56.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.8
End0.0
red by 3.7
615
#34
9.90.5
10.010.5
Auto0.1
Teleop9.8
End0.0