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Qual 762015 Chesapeake Regional
Red3
268214.5
29006.5
494510.8
Blue13
154714.2
119513.2
463817.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34460100150200313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2682
#38
14.50.8
15.3→14.5
Auto0.2
Teleop14.4
End0.0
blue by 2.7
4638
#13
17.32.6
16.9→14.3
Auto0.6
Teleop16.7
End0.0
Second
4945
#50DQ
10.81.3
13.5→12.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.0
End0.0
blue by 3.4
1547
#46
14.21.7
14.8→13.1
Auto0.2
Teleop13.9
End0.0
Third
2900
#55
6.51.3
8.3→7.1
Auto0.0
Teleop6.5
End0.0
blue by 6.8
1195
#37
13.22.6
14.4→11.8
Auto1.1
Teleop12.2
End0.0