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Red52
281914.3
49498.7
119513.2
Blue96
88817.1
284918.1
252815.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304101001502002503003505296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2819
#29
14.31.4
12.914.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop14.8
End0.0
blue by 3.8
2849
#19
18.14.0
14.118.1
Auto1.4
Teleop16.6
End0.0
Second
1195
#37
13.21.4
11.813.2
Auto1.1
Teleop12.2
End0.0
blue by 3.9
888
#15
17.12.8
13.916.7
Auto0.9
Teleop16.2
End0.0
Third
4949
#20
8.71.0
7.88.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop9.1
End0.0
blue by 6.9
2528
#26
15.62.8
12.915.6
Auto1.2
Teleop14.5
End0.0