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Red79
456443.9
495819.3
264817.9
Blue50
492518.1
550623.0
393021.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62290501001507950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.91.6
19.020.6
Auto1.3
Teleop42.7
End0.0
red by 20.9
5506
#14
23.016.4
26.29.7
Auto0.0
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Second
4958
#26
19.31.0
21.322.3
Auto0.4
Teleop19.0
End0.0
blue by 1.8
3930
#19
21.11.2
15.516.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.3
End0.0
Third
2648
#23
17.91.6
19.020.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.1
End0.0
blue by 0.3
4925
#16
18.11.2
11.312.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.2
End0.0