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Red119
13330.3
5839.8
360921.2
Blue71
512224.1
352528.6
6917.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions916705010015011971

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
#3
39.80.6
39.540.0
Auto1.2
Teleop38.5
End0.0
red by 11.1
28.60.0
29.529.4
Auto0.7
Teleop27.9
End0.0
Second
133
#8
30.30.6
30.030.6
Auto1.5
Teleop28.8
End0.0
red by 6.3
5122
#11
24.10.0
24.924.9
Auto0.2
Teleop23.9
End0.0
Third
3609
#21
21.20.6
20.921.5
Auto0.9
Teleop20.3
End0.0
red by 3.6
69
#24
17.60.0
18.418.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.7
End0.0