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Red118
568731.3
456443.9
526519.5
Blue43
9523.8
578224.8
404215.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions846005010015020011843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.90.6
40.240.7
Auto1.3
Teleop42.7
End0.0
red by 19.1
24.80.4
25.425.0
Auto-0.5
Teleop25.3
End0.0
Second
31.30.6
27.528.1
Auto0.2
Teleop31.1
End0.0
red by 7.5
95
#15
23.80.4
24.323.9
Auto1.0
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Third
5265
#28
19.50.6
15.816.3
Auto0.7
Teleop18.8
End0.0
red by 3.7
4042
#25
15.90.4
16.516.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.0
End0.0