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Red137
21754.8
213762.8
377320.1
Blue108
332236.8
86243.1
283228.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14194050200137108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.80.0
63.363.2
Auto0.3
Teleop62.5
End0.0
red by 19.8
862
#10
43.10.0
42.042.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop43.3
End0.0
Second
217
#7
54.80.0
55.255.2
Auto0.6
Teleop54.2
End0.0
red by 18.0
3322
#14
36.80.0
35.835.8
Auto0.6
Teleop36.2
End0.0
Third
3773
#30
20.10.0
20.520.5
Auto0.3
Teleop19.8
End0.0
blue by 8.3
2832
#16
28.40.0
27.427.4
Auto0.4
Teleop28.0
End0.0